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Updated: 09/03/26
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Wisdom of the (Pinnacle) Crowd: Announcement: Since Pinnacle have discontinued their free API odds feed, from the 2025/26 season I am no longer posting the weekly Wisdom of Crowd value selections on this page. The results history below will be maintained for posterity. For a monthly subscription, the Pinnacle Odds Dropper service is now the most effective way to compare Pinnacle's odds to those from other bookmakers to find betting value. You can read more about it here. I have written a PDF document describing the basis of a betting value hunting methodology called Wisdom of the (Pinnacle) Crowd. The material is adapted from my book Squares & Sharps, Suckers & Sharks: Science, Psychology & Philosophy of Gambling (2015), and was updated in 2017 with new models for finding 'true' odds. You can also read the basis of the methodology in my articles. Plus Excel 'True' Odds Calculator
Since the start of the 2015/16 season I have been showing on this page a list of football matches where any 'wisdom-of-the-crowd' value might exist (specifically where at least 2% value can be found) when I provide my biweekly fixtures updates. For the avoidance of confusion, these matches should NOT be seen as betting tips but rather a source of information complementary to other research that you might undertake for your betting activities. Football-Data takes no reponsibility for any losses incurred as a result of betting any of the suggestions. Follow me on twitter for notifications of when new matches are added. Please gamble responsibly, don't chase losses and NEVER risk what you cannot affort to lose. Archive of previous results since August 2015 (Excel)
The latest matches selected by the methodology are shown below (odds correct as of 13.15 30th May 2025)
Football-Data cannot guarantee that the betting on the suggested matches published on this page will allow the reader to make a profit. Neither are they a recommendation to bet or gamble. Those who gamble, do so at their own risk. Never risk what you cannot afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly.
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Squares & Sharps, Suckers & Sharks: Science, Psychology & Philosophy of Gambling by Joseph Buchdahl
